Modena vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
FCC
1 - 1
MOD
41%
30%
29%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
POT
1 - 1
MOD
52%
24%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
MOD
1 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
MOD
2 - 1
USA
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
PAL
2 - 0
MOD
39%
30%
31%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
BAR
0 - 1
SPA
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
ASS
0 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
BAR
2 - 3
LEC
45%
30%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 0
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
BAR
1 - 3
PAD
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |