Modena vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 0
MOD
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
SSS
2 - 1
MOD
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
MES
0 - 2
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 0
SSS
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
BAR
0 - 0
MES
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
TRI
0 - 0
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
BAR
2 - 0
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |