Modena vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
SIR
4 - 0
MOD
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
MOD
2 - 1
VIC
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
PRO
2 - 5
MOD
33%
28%
40%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
MOD
2 - 1
VER
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
BAR
1 - 1
SIR
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAL
55%
23%
21%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
PIS
5 - 3
BAR
49%
24%
28%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
BAR
2 - 3
INT
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
COM
4 - 1
BAR
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |