Modena vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
USA
1 - 3
MOD
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
MOD
0 - 2
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
VNZ
2 - 3
MOD
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
INT
2 - 0
MOD
74%
16%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
MOD
5 - 1
TRI
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 3
LAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1946 |
ACM
8 - 0
BAR
75%
14%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 0
ROM
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1946 |
LIV
3 - 0
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 2
TOR
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |