Modena vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1938 |
GEN
5 - 1
MOD
67%
17%
16%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
MOD
1 - 1
INT
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1938 |
NAP
0 - 1
MOD
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
MOD
2 - 0
ROM
31%
23%
46%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
TOR
4 - 2
MOD
74%
14%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1938 |
BAR
1 - 1
ASL
55%
22%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
TRI
1 - 0
BAR
54%
22%
25%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1938 |
BAR
1 - 1
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 0
BAR
66%
17%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
BAR
2 - 1
ACM
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |