Modena vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
VIS
0 - 3
MOD
17%
27%
56%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
MOD
1 - 1
SIE
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
MOD
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MOD
1 - 2
OLB
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
MOD
1 - 0
PES
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ANC
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
ACD
2 - 0
ANC
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ANC
2 - 2
VIT
64%
21%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
ANC
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ANC
1 - 1
REG
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |