Modena vs Alzano Virescit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
CES
0 - 2
MOD
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
MOD
3 - 1
ACL
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 2
MOD
41%
29%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPA
45%
29%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 0
MOD
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
ALV
1 - 0
BRE
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 1
ALV
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
ALV
1 - 0
USA
27%
26%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
ABN
0 - 0
ALV
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
ALV
3 - 0
PAL
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |