Modena vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
LIV
3 - 1
MOD
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
VAR
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 1
MOD
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
SPE
2 - 3
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
MOD
3 - 2
ALV
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
REG
0 - 1
CES
29%
30%
41%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
ARZ
4 - 1
REG
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
REG
2 - 2
SPA
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
REG
1 - 2
LIV
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
REG
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |