Modena vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
MOD
0 - 0
ANC
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
COS
1 - 0
MOD
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
MOD
2 - 2
BRE
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
PIA
3 - 0
MOD
42%
29%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
MOD
3 - 1
LEC
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
COS
0 - 0
REG
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
REG
2 - 2
AVE
60%
25%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
CES
1 - 1
REG
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
REG
0 - 2
VNZ
59%
24%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
ASL
0 - 1
REG
45%
29%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |