Modena vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
26.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
AVE
1 - 0
MOD
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOD
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
MOD
2 - 0
PAD
50%
28%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
COS
2 - 0
MOD
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
MOD
1 - 1
MES
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
REG
2 - 1
SSB
50%
28%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
REG
1 - 1
UDI
44%
29%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
ANC
1 - 1
REG
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
REG
4 - 0
VER
32%
32%
37%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
TAR
1 - 0
REG
44%
30%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |