Modena vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
18%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
ARZ
1 - 0
MOD
55%
28%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
MOD
2 - 0
ASS
47%
30%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
53%
29%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
MOD
2 - 0
NOV
46%
30%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
COM
2 - 0
MOD
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
REG
2 - 0
REG
53%
28%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
CAT
0 - 0
REG
51%
31%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
REG
1 - 1
PRG
49%
30%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
LIV
0 - 0
REG
40%
35%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
REG
3 - 0
GEN
56%
28%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |