Modena vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
30.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 2
MOD
55%
29%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 0
PRG
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
BRE
3 - 0
MOD
72%
19%
8%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 1
CAT
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1969 |
REG
3 - 0
LIV
58%
27%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
CAT
2 - 1
REG
39%
32%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
REG
37%
32%
32%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
PAD
62%
25%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 0
REG
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |