Modena vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
LIV
0 - 0
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 0
ARZ
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
PAL
2 - 2
MOD
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
POT
1 - 0
MOD
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
USA
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
REG
0 - 0
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
VER
0 - 1
REG
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
REG
2 - 1
USA
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
NOV
3 - 0
REG
49%
28%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
REG
1 - 0
REG
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |