Modena vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 1
MOD
70%
18%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
4 - 3
MOD
83%
11%
6%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
REG
2 - 0
MOD
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
MOD
0 - 6
SPA
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
BAR
0 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
REG
0 - 0
BOL
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 3
REG
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
REG
2 - 0
MOD
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
3 - 0
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
REG
0 - 1
CAT
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |