Modena vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
24.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 2
ROM
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
FIO
2 - 0
MOD
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
RIM
0 - 2
MOD
59%
21%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 2
SAM
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 1
ASS
43%
30%
26%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
ASS
3 - 2
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASS
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1977 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ASS
77%
15%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
ASS
3 - 0
TER
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 1
ASS
43%
30%
26%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |