Modena vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
BAR
2 - 0
MOD
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
MOD
2 - 1
GEN
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
MOD
3 - 2
REG
51%
23%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
MOD
0 - 0
FCC
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
MOD
2 - 2
SAV
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
ASS
1 - 1
LAZ
45%
29%
27%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
VER
0 - 0
ASS
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
ASS
4 - 2
NOV
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASS
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
POT
0 - 0
ASS
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |