Modena vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1952 |
MOD
3 - 1
REG
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1952 |
GEN
0 - 2
MOD
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
MOD
4 - 0
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
BRE
0 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
MOD
2 - 0
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 0
GEN
46%
25%
30%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1952 |
ROM
1 - 0
ASS
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
ASS
0 - 0
PIS
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASS
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 0
VER
48%
23%
29%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |