Modena vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
MOD
2 - 0
SSS
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
LEC
5 - 2
MOD
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 2
PAL
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
TAR
3 - 2
MOD
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
MOD
2 - 1
MES
68%
19%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAG
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 0
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
NOV
3 - 0
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 1
TAR
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |