Modena vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
VER
2 - 0
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
VNZ
2 - 1
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
MOD
2 - 1
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
UNI
1 - 2
MOD
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
ACM
1 - 2
USA
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
PRO
1 - 3
ACM
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ACM
3 - 1
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
NOV
1 - 1
ACM
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ACM
0 - 0
CAG
47%
24%
28%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |