Modena vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CTT
1 - 1
MOD
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 0
TRI
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ABN
0 - 3
MOD
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 2
CRO
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SAS
0 - 0
MOD
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
SAL
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 3
CTT
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 0
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 1
CES
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PIA
0 - 2
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |