Modena vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
JUV
0 - 0
MOD
81%
13%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
MES
2 - 0
MOD
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
MOD
0 - 1
FIO
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
TOR
0 - 0
MOD
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
MOD
4 - 3
SPA
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
MAN
0 - 0
BAR
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1964 |
VIC
1 - 1
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
ACM
1 - 0
MAN
82%
12%
7%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1964 |
MAN
1 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
ROM
2 - 1
MAN
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |