Modena vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 2
MOD
41%
29%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPA
45%
29%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 0
MOD
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
MOD
0 - 1
LEC
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 1
MOD
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
COM
0 - 0
ACL
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 0
SPE
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
MON
3 - 0
ACL
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
ACL
1 - 0
ABN
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
REG
1 - 2
ACL
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |