Modena vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
15%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
SIE
2 - 0
MOD
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
ASL
2 - 0
MOD
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
MOD
0 - 0
SPA
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
USC
2 - 1
MOD
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
MOD
0 - 0
PIS
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1999 |
ACL
1 - 1
CTT
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
COM
0 - 0
ACL
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
ACL
1 - 2
LIV
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ACL
0 - 1
VAR
41%
26%
32%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACL
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |