Modena vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAR
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
TAR
1 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
ASS
1 - 1
MOD
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
CAG
2 - 0
MOD
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
UNI
0 - 0
TAR
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
UNI
1 - 3
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
UNI
52%
22%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
UNI
2 - 1
COM
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
ACM
2 - 0
UNI
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |