Modena vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
MOD
6 - 3
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
SIR
4 - 0
MOD
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
MOD
2 - 1
VIC
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
PRO
2 - 5
MOD
33%
28%
40%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
VIC
1 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
29%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
UNI
2 - 0
BRE
63%
19%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
UNI
1 - 0
PIS
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
ANC
0 - 0
UNI
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
UNI
6 - 1
UDI
45%
22%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |