Modena vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
24.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MOD
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
TOR
2 - 1
MOD
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2005 |
MOD
0 - 0
VIC
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 2
MOD
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
MOD
3 - 0
USC
65%
23%
12%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
CES
0 - 1
BRE
31%
27%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
ABN
0 - 3
CES
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
CES
2 - 0
BOL
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
TOR
1 - 0
CES
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
CES
0 - 0
CRO
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |