Modena vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
ACL
0 - 0
MOD
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
MOD
4 - 1
ARZ
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 0
MOD
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 2
MOD
32%
29%
40%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 2
CES
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
CES
0 - 0
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
CES
1 - 3
ARZ
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 1
CES
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |