Modena vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
26.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOD
63%
25%
12%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 1
ARZ
42%
31%
28%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
CAT
0 - 0
MOD
67%
23%
11%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAR
40%
31%
29%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
VIC
3 - 0
MOD
68%
22%
10%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
CES
1 - 0
TAR
64%
24%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
MES
3 - 1
CES
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
PIS
1 - 0
CES
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
CES
1 - 2
USC
50%
29%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
CES
42%
33%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |