Modena vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
MOD
2 - 0
VIC
37%
26%
38%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
BOL
3 - 0
MOD
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
MAS
1 - 1
MOD
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
48%
29%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
62%
25%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
CES
0 - 2
BOL
18%
25%
57%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
VIC
2 - 0
CES
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
CES
1 - 1
NOV
51%
29%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
TAR
2 - 1
CES
45%
33%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |