Modena vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
PAL
0 - 1
MOD
58%
27%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
MOD
3 - 1
NOV
47%
30%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
PIS
0 - 0
MOD
54%
28%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 1
COM
46%
29%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
TAR
2 - 0
MOD
49%
30%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
CES
1 - 1
MAN
43%
32%
25%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
CES
0 - 2
NAP
18%
25%
57%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
TER
1 - 0
CES
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
CES
3 - 1
CAS
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
BAR
2 - 0
CES
61%
25%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |