Modena vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
SAM
4 - 1
MOD
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
MOD
2 - 0
PAD
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEC
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
USC
2 - 0
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
MOD
1 - 3
GEN
49%
30%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
ARZ
0 - 1
LEC
34%
29%
37%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
ARZ
0 - 1
USC
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
PAD
1 - 1
ARZ
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
ARZ
0 - 2
SAM
11%
21%
68%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1988 |
ARZ
1 - 1
BRE
36%
34%
30%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |