Modena vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
26.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
ASS
2 - 0
MOD
53%
29%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
44%
32%
24%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
NOV
3 - 3
MOD
66%
23%
11%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
MOD
0 - 1
COM
40%
31%
29%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
BRE
1 - 0
MOD
67%
23%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ARZ
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
ARZ
1 - 0
TAR
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
REG
3 - 0
ARZ
43%
32%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
ARZ
1 - 0
LIV
59%
26%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BAR
47%
31%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |