Modena vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
PAL
2 - 2
MOD
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
POT
1 - 0
MOD
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
USA
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
GEN
1 - 0
MOD
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
ARZ
2 - 2
PAD
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
USA
2 - 0
ARZ
50%
23%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CAT
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
ARZ
0 - 1
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
LIV
2 - 1
ARZ
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |