Modbury Jets vs Para Hills Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
51.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 0
ADE
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
MOD
3 - 3
ADO
19%
20%
62%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
MOD
2 - 4
ADE
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
ADE
4 - 1
MOD
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
MOD
0 - 1
CRO
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
CRO
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PCP
1 - 3
PAR
8%
14%
78%
|
25 | 6 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
WES
2 - 4
PAR
16%
20%
64%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
SAP
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
PAR
3 - 3
ADO
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |