Modbury Jets vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
84.9%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.1%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.2%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
ARM
2 - 5
MOD
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ADE
2 - 0
MOD
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAM
2 - 1
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MOD
0 - 2
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 1
MOD
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MAG
0 - 6
MFC
5%
10%
85%
|
68 | 8 | 60 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 1
WES
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 3
NEW
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 4
MEL
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
WUF
2 - 0
MFC
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |