Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Raiders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
7º
3º
25
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
40.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
59.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WHI
3 - 1
MOD
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 0
ADE
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 2
MOD
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MOD
3 - 3
SAP
79%
13%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ADO
1 - 4
MOD
27%
21%
52%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Adelaide Raiders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 1
CAM
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
ADE
29%
22%
49%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
WHI
3 - 1
ADE
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 2
ADE
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADE
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |