Mocidade vs Marialvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+396%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mocidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
MOI
5 - 1
MOC
83%
11%
5%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 1
MOC
61%
20%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MOC
0 - 0
ADE
18%
20%
61%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PER
2 - 0
MOC
62%
20%
19%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MOC
1 - 4
VRA
14%
19%
68%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Marialvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 1
RIB
58%
21%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
AGU
12%
18%
70%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 1
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
POI
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |