CD Mocejon vs AD Hogar Alcarreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mocejon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAB
1 - 0
MOC
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MOC
1 - 0
YUN
38%
24%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MOC
1 - 1
URD
47%
24%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ADS
4 - 0
MOC
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MOC
1 - 2
CDQ
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
HAL
3 - 1
T66
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TDR
1 - 1
HAL
8%
15%
78%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
HAL
2 - 0
ADS
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CDQ
1 - 0
HAL
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HAL
3 - 0
PUE
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |