Moca vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
25.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
5º
3º
21
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
MOC
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MOC
0 - 1
CFC
33%
29%
39%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
MOC
1 - 0
SCR
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
MOC
1 - 0
RFC
56%
26%
19%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
MOC
46%
25%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 0
RFC
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
AVR
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 0
JAR
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 1
DEP
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 0
AFC
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |