Liga Mayor Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 0-3
Moca vs Cibao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MOC
1 - 0
RFC
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
MOC
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
MOC
1 - 2
UNI
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 0
MOC
48%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MOC
0 - 1
CFC
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cibao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
CFC
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 1
RFC
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 2
DEP
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 5
CFC
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MOC
0 - 1
CFC
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |