Ponsacco vs Real Forte Querceta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
MPO
25%
27%
48%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MPO
3 - 1
ACP
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SDT
2 - 1
MPO
29%
28%
43%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MPO
4 - 0
SGP
84%
12%
5%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MPO
1 - 0
TUT
57%
25%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Forte Querceta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
USR
1 - 0
SIN
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TUT
2 - 2
USR
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
USR
1 - 2
MON
28%
24%
49%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
USR
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
USR
1 - 4
GHI
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |