Ponsacco vs Sporting Trestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
14º
18º
17º
41
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ACA
3 - 1
MPO
49%
25%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SDT
1 - 2
MPO
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MPO
1 - 0
SPO
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ACS
2 - 2
MPO
55%
24%
21%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MPO
1 - 1
FLA
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 3
PRG
6%
15%
79%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
ASG
2 - 0
SPO
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MPO
1 - 0
SPO
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 2
OST
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |