Ponsacco vs Seravezza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
18º
15º
44
5º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
80% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ATT
0 - 1
MPO
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MPO
1 - 1
GHI
32%
25%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MPO
2 - 1
ACS
25%
25%
51%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 1
MPO
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MPO
1 - 2
GAV
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Seravezza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SER
0 - 0
GRO
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SSD
1 - 2
SER
42%
23%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
ATT
64%
19%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GHI
0 - 3
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
ACS
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |