Ponsacco vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
MON
4 - 1
MPO
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MPO
1 - 0
GAV
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MPO
2 - 2
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MPO
2 - 1
ACS
73%
18%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
USR
2 - 4
MPO
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
GRO
4 - 1
MON
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MPO
2 - 2
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
MAS
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SCA
1 - 0
MON
34%
23%
42%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
BAS
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |