Ponsacco vs Jolly Montemurlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 1
MPO
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MPO
1 - 1
MAS
36%
28%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FCV
1 - 3
MPO
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MPO
1 - 0
FBC
43%
24%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
LAV
3 - 1
MPO
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
JMO
1 - 3
ARG
43%
27%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
JMO
1 - 0
FCV
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
JMO
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
JMO
1 - 1
LAV
32%
28%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAS
2 - 1
JMO
52%
26%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |