Ponsacco vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
POM
1 - 3
MPO
21%
21%
58%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MPO
3 - 0
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
MON
4 - 1
MPO
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MPO
1 - 0
GAV
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MPO
2 - 2
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 0
FOL
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 0
SDT
9%
19%
72%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 1
UST
11%
16%
73%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 2
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 4
ASC
5%
15%
80%
|
13 | 64 | 51 | -1 |