Ponsacco vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
56.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SSD
1 - 0
MPO
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MPO
3 - 2
ASG
15%
23%
63%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 0
MPO
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MPO
1 - 0
USP
49%
27%
24%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ACS
2 - 2
MPO
29%
27%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 1
GAV
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
JMO
2 - 1
FCV
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FCV
2 - 2
VFC
80%
15%
6%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 2
FCV
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 2
SSD
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |