Ponsacco vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
MPO
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
MPO
0 - 0
EMP
5%
13%
83%
|
41 | 79 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
MPO
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MPO
3 - 2
USR
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MPO
1 - 0
SES
60%
23%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 0
CAN
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 0
MON
15%
17%
68%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +3 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SAN
5 - 3
BAS
80%
14%
6%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 2
MAS
9%
19%
73%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VOL
3 - 0
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |