Ponsacco vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SDT
2 - 1
MPO
29%
28%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MPO
4 - 0
SGP
84%
12%
5%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MPO
1 - 0
TUT
57%
25%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 2
MPO
21%
22%
58%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MPO
5 - 1
SER
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ACP
4 - 1
SIN
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
TUT
2 - 1
ACP
49%
26%
26%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ACP
1 - 2
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
SER
3 - 0
ACP
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ACP
0 - 2
GHI
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |