Ponsacco vs Aglianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 0
MPO
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MPO
0 - 4
SCA
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -3 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GAV
3 - 0
MPO
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MPO
1 - 4
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 1
MPO
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ACA
0 - 1
FOL
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
ACA
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 4
GRO
52%
21%
28%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SDT
0 - 0
ACA
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ACA
0 - 0
POM
68%
18%
15%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |